Reply With Quote"SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead"
by Leopold Aschenbrenner
June 2024
Leopold Aschenbrenner - 2027 AGI, China/US Super-Intelligence Race, & The Return of History
Jun 4, 2024
Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner about the trillion dollar cluster, unhobblings + scaling = 2027 AGI, CCP espionage at AI labs, leaving OpenAI and starting an AGI investment firm, dangers of outsourcing clusters to the Middle East, & The Project.
Timestamps
00:00:00 The trillion-dollar cluster and unhobbling
00:21:20 AI 2028: The return of history
00:41:15 Espionage & American AI superiority
01:09:09 Geopolitical implications of AI
01:32:12 State-led vs. private-led AI
02:13:12 Becoming Valedictorian of Columbia at 19
02:31:24 What happened at OpenAI
02:46:00 Intelligence explosion
03:26:47 Alignment
03:42:15 On Germany, and understanding foreign perspectives
03:57:53 Dwarkesh's immigration story and path to the podcast
04:03:16 Random questions
04:08:47 Launching an AGI hedge fund
04:20:03 Lessons from WWII
04:29:57 Coda: Frederick the Great
Inside the Trillion Dollar AI Race | Situational Awareness | Leopold Aschenbrenner
Jun 14, 2024
Listen to the full audiobook version of "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead" by Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI employee. This report, "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", offers a chillingly realistic glimpse into what the next few years hold as we rapidly approach AGI and the even more powerful superintelligence that will follow.
Chapters:
0:00:00 - Introduction
0:02:33 - I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs
0:51:32 - II. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion
1:40:11 - III. The Challenges
1:42:07 - IIIa. Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster
2:04:31 - IIIb. Lock Down the Labs: Security for AGI
2:31:59 - IIIc. Superalignment
3:10:45 - IIId. The Free World Must Prevail
3:39:35 - IV. The Project
4:09:26 - V. Parting Thoughts
4:16:35 - Appendix
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